Fuel Consumption Hits 80million Litres Daily, Subsidy Skyrockets

According to the most recent numbers provided by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited, the usage of Premium Motor Spirit, often known as Petrol, has increased to nearly 80 million liters per day, increasing the subsidy on the commodity to an estimated N484 billion each month.

An analysis of PMS weekly evacuation/dispatch data from March 4 – 10, 2023, obtained from NNPCL on Wednesday, indicated that a total of 558.83 million litres of petrol was evacuated during the period, translating to an average daily consumption of 79.83 million litres.

Around mid-last month, the Group Chief Executive, NNPCL, Mele Kyari, said about 66 million litres of petrol was pumped daily into the market by the oil firm, as the company was spending about N202 on every litre of PMS consumed across the country.

“Today, by law and the provisions of the Appropriation Act, there is a subsidy on the supply of petroleum products, particularly PMS imports into our country. In current data terms, three days ago, the landing cost was around N315/litre.

“Our customers are here; we are transferring to each of them at N113/litre. That means there is a difference of close to N202 for every litre of PMS we import into this country. In computation, N202 multiplied by 66.5 million litres, multiplied by 30 will give you over N400bn of subsidy every month,” the GCEO had stated.

Since January till date, the cost of crude oil has revolved around $83/barrel, while the official exchange rate has been about N460/$. Crude oil price and foreign exchange rate are the major determinants of refined petroleum products’ cost, according to operators.

Going by NNPCL’s latest fuel consumption figure of 79.83 million litres daily, and a subsidy of about N202/litre, it implies that the oil company would be spending an estimated N483.8bn to subsidise the commodity monthly.

NNPCL is the sole importer of petrol into Nigeria and has maintained this for several years. Other marketers of the commodity stopped its imports due to the difficulty in accessing foreign exchange required for PMS purchase.

NNPCL, however, has been lamenting the huge burden of PMS subsidy, as Kyari pointed out in February that this had been a drain on the cash-flow of the national oil firm.

He explained that the continuous funding of petrol subsidy by NNPCL had been ongoing without refunds from the Federal Ministry of Finance, Budget and National Planning, despite the fact that subsidy had been budgeted for in the Appropriation Act.

“But there is a budget provision for it (subsidy). Our country has decided to do this. So, we are happy to deliver this, but it is also a drain on our cash flow, and I must emphasize this.

“For as we continue to support this, you will agree with me that it will be extremely challenging for us to continue to fund this from the cash flow of the company when you do not get refunds from the Ministry of Finance,” Kyari had stated in Abuja.

Fuel subsidy is a topical issue in Nigeria. Many experts, local and international institutions have called for a halt in petrol subsidy. However, labour unions had kicked against an outright subsidy halt, on the grounds that the Federal Government must fix Nigeria’s refineries first.

Analysts at Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise recently explained that Nigeria would save about N10tn annually by the elimination of subsidies on PMS and foreign exchange.

They said the country would save about N7tn annually by halting subsidy on petrol, while an estimated N3tn would be unlocked when the Central Bank of Nigeria eventually halts subsidy on foreign exchange.

“Elimination of fuel subsidy to save an estimated N7tn annually. Elimination of foreign exchange subsidy to unlock a minimum of N3tn revenue annually from the sale of CBN forex to the official foreign exchange window,” the centre stated.